Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Southend United |
| 32.5% ( | 23.77% ( | 43.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( | 63.16% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( | 24.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( | 58.99% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( | 18.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 43.73% |