Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 39.91% ( | 25.24% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( | 46.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( | 69.2% ( |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( | 23.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( | 57.28% |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( | 26.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( | 61.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.85% |