Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.