National League | Gameweek 23

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 1
Boreham Wood

Fondop (62'), Garner (81')
Conlon (54'), Garner (60'), Kitching (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sagaf (30')
Ashmore (72'), Marsh (77'), Marsh (78'), Sass-Davies (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boreham Wood

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oldham Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oldham Athletic.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Boreham Wood
45.7% ( -0.07)	25.67% ( -0.02)	28.63% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.67% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

0.12)

51% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

0.11)

72.87% (

-0.11)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

0.02)

22.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

0.03)

55.75% (

-0.04)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

0.13)

32.22% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

0.15)

68.71% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 45.7%

Boreham Wood 28.63%

Draw 25.66%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Boreham Wood
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.63%