National League South
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
Hornchurch 2 - 0 Weston
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Torquay Utd 4 - 2 Dorking
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Dylan Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 35.47% (-0.01)
Draw 25.75% (-0.02)
Torquay United 38.79% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.14% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.2% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 50.8% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.67% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 30.38% (-0.06)
Draw 39.85% (+0.18)
Torquay United 29.77% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 46.53% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.01)
Torquay United 46.63% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.69% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.12% (+0.06)
Under 8 31.19% (+0.12)
Over 9 46.36% (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.06)
Under 9 42.31% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 35.75% (-0.26)
Under 10.5 64.25% (+0.26)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 34.55% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.45% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.02% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.18% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.82% (+0.01)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.74% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.82% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.18% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.86%
Under 2.5 85.14%
Over 3.5 5.07% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 35.48%
Draw 25.77%
Torquay United 38.79%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 9.51% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.17% (-0.01)
Total : 35.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.77%
Torquay United
0-1 @ 9.55% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.06% (+0.02)
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head

National League South
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Angelo Balanta 9' goal
  • Henry Hearn 60' yellowcard
  • Junior Morias 66' yellowcard
  • Darren McQueen 74' yellowcard
  • Dave Winfield 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cody Cooke 46'
  • goal Jordan Young 50'
  • goal Jordan Young 68'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thomas 89'
  • yellowcard Matt Jay 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ed Palmer 90'+2'
National League South
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Finley Craske 9' goal
  • Matthew Carson 36' goal
  • goal Angelo Balanta 87'
National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 7' goal
  • George Saunders 60' goal
  • George Saunders 66' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Craske 33'
  • goal Cody Cooke 76'
  • yellowcard Dean Moxey 79'