Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.