National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Sir Halley Stewart Field

Spalding United vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spalding United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Spennymoor 1 - 3 Spalding
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Bartosz Cybulski

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Worksop 1 - 2 Bedford
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
George Moncur

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spalding United win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw has a probability of 23.83% and a win for Bedford has a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spalding United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.88%) , while for a Bedford win it is 1-2 (5.77%).

Result

Spalding United 54.06% (-2.58)
Draw 23.83% (+1.00)
Bedford 22.11% (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% (-1.32)
Under 1.5 21.66% (+1.31)
Over 2.5 55.76% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 44.24% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 32.52% (-1.41)
Under 3.5 67.48% (+1.42)
Over 4.5 19.9% (-1.43)
Under 4.5 80.1% (+1.43)

First Half Winner

Spalding United 41.72% (-2.53)
Draw 38.61% (+1.72)
Bedford 19.67% (+0.81)

Team To Score First

Spalding United 60.7% (+1.54)
No Goal 5.99% (+0.38)
Bedford 33.31% (-1.90)

Corners

Over 8 72.73% (+0.36)
Equal 8 9.26% (+0.29)
Under 8 18.01% (-0.65)
Over 9 62.05% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.69% (+0.42)
Under 9 27.26% (-0.37)
Over 10.5 50.78% (-0.48)
Under 10.5 49.22% (+0.48)

Spalding United Goals

Over 1.5 52.94% (-3.04)
Under 1.5 47.06% (+3.04)
Over 2.5 26.41% (-2.81)
Under 2.5 73.59% (+2.80)
Over 3.5 11.23% (-1.75)
Under 3.5 88.77% (+1.74)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 58.64% (+2.03)
Under 0.5 41.36% (-2.03)
Over 1.5 26.48% (+1.09)
Under 1.5 73.52% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 9.57% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 90.43% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 2.67% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 97.33% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Spalding United 54.06%
Draw 23.82%
Bedford 22.12%
Spalding United
2-1 @ 10.47% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.45)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.43)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.75)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
Other @ 10.87% (-1.66)
Total : 54.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% (+0.70)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.09)
Total : 23.82%
Bedford
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 5.57% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 2.92% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 2.13% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.31% (+0.27)
Total : 22.12%