National League North
May 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Chester

Morrison (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mottley-Henry (35'), Weeks (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-1 Buxton
Wednesday, April 30 at 8pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChester FC
55.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)25.22% (0.227 0.23)19.66% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.969 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-1.091 -1.09)56.68% (1.094 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.884 -0.88)77.64% (0.886 0.89)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)20.57% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.67299999999999 -0.67)53.11% (0.675 0.68)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.917 -0.92)43.61% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.771 -0.77)79.8% (0.773 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 55.12%
    Chester FC 19.66%
    Draw 25.22%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 14.18% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.66%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Chester
1-1
Kidderminster
Burke (6')
Hemmings (33')
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Kidderminster
1-1
Chester
Hemmings (65')
Brown (43')
Hemmings (76')
Caton (77' pen.)
Pollock (42'), Weeks (80'), Peers (89')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chester
2-0
Kidderminster
Thomas (52'), Caton (88')
Dec 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Kidderminster
0-2
Chester
Weeks (47'), Caton (90+3')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Chester
2-2
Kidderminster
Stephenson (60'), Dackers (65' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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