National League North
May 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Aggborough Stadium
  • Kyle Morrison 19' goal
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 35'
  • goal Declan Weeks 82'

Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Southport 2 - 1 Kidderminster
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Ashley Hemmings

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 8.00pm
Chester 2 - 1 Buxton
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Tom Peers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Kidderminster Harriers 55.12% (+0.03)
Draw 25.22% (+0.23)
Chester FC 19.66% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.79% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.32% (-1.10)
Under 2.5 56.68% (+1.10)
Over 3.5 22.36% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 77.64% (+0.89)
Over 4.5 9.73% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 90.27% (+0.54)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5 79.43% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 20.57% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 46.9% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 53.11% (+0.68)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 56.39% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 43.61% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 20.2% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 79.8% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 55.12%
Draw 25.22%
Chester FC 19.66%
Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 14.18% (+0.41)
2-0 @ 11.21% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.91% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.97% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.22%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.66%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 6' goal
  • goal Ashley Hemmings 33'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Zak Brown 43' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hemmings 65' goal
  • Ashley Hemmings 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Ben Pollock 42'
  • goal Charlie Caton 77'
  • yellowcard Declan Weeks 80'
  • yellowcard Tom Peers 89'
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Adam Thomas 52' goal
  • Charlie Caton 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 7, 2022 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Aggborough Stadium
  • goal Declan Weeks 47'
  • goal Charlie Caton 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 37
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Stephenson 60' goal
  • Marcus Dackers 65' goal
  • goal Amari Morgan-Smith 72'
  • goal Omari Sterling-James 83'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Omari Sterling-James 25' goal
  • Mark Carrington 62' goal
  • Sam Austin 72' goal
  • goal John Johnston 90'+6'