National League North | Gameweek 46

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 1
Needham Market

Hatfield (3'), Main (31' pen., 76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Allen (72')
(30')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Darlington
Monday, April 21 at 1pm in National League North

Goals
for

Needham Market

All competitions

Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 King's Lynn
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Needham Market
59.81% ( 0.05)	21.65% ( -0.02)	18.54% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

0.01)

44.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

0.02)

66.42% (

-0.01)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.67% (

0.02)

14.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.84% (

0.04)

42.16% (

-0.04)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5% (

-0.03)

37.5% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

-0.03)

74.28% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Darlington 59.8%

Needham Market 18.54%

Draw 21.65%

Darlington	Draw	Needham Market
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 59.8%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.65%	0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.54%