Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.