Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.