Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 30.4% | 24.68% | 44.93% |
| Both teams to score 56.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% | 45.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% | 68.16% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% | 28.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% | 64.06% |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% | 20.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% | 52.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.93% |