Leagues Cup
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Kieran Chandler 37' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 44' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Gonzalez 59' goal
  • Julian Gressel 62' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Pereyra 75' goal
  • Joaquín Pereyra 87' goal
  • yellowcard Aarón Quirós 11'
  • goal Devin Padelford 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 69'

Minnesota United vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.00am
Tigres 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd

Atlante

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00am
Salt Lake 4 - 0 Atlante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Atlante had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Atlante win was 0-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 43.34% (-0.07)
Draw 25.49% (+0.04)
Atlante 31.17% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.58% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.74% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.52% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 49.48% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 28.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.24% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.36% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.64% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 37.06% (+0.03)
Draw 38.69% (-0.02)
Atlante 24.25% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 54.21% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.33%
Atlante 38.46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.28% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 27.69% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.75% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 38.72% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 38.69% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.31% (-0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 41.83% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.17% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 18.62% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.38% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.93% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.07% (+0.02)

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 65.16% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 34.84% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.84% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.16% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.86% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 43.34%
Draw 25.49%
Atlante 31.17%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.04% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.73% (-0.02)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.49%
Atlante
0-1 @ 8.37% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.66% (+0.02)
Total : 31.17%