/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
-
Julián Quiñones
46'
-
Carlos Rodríguez
46'
-
Germán Berterame
60'
-
Richard Ledezma
60'
-
Érick Sánchez
60'
-
Armando González
78'
-
Everardo del Villar
78'
-
Tomás Araújo
46'
-
João Cancelo
46'
-
Gonçalo Guedes
46'
-
Pedro Neto
46'
-
Vitinha
46'
-
Diogo Dalot
46'
-
João Neves
46'
-
46'
-
Paulinho
64'
-
Francisco Trincão
81'
Mexico vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Froberto-martinez-portugal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fportugal-s-cristiano-ronaldo-reacts-on-november-13-2025-pa-images-6916631400a52484811403.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Mexico
25.72%
Draw
24.69%
Portugal
49.62%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
53.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
23.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
52.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
47.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
29.99%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
70.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
17.26%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
82.74%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Mexico
26.23%
Draw
41.24%
Portugal
32.53%
Team To Score First
Mexico
43.26%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
6.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Portugal
50.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
43.77%
▲
(+0.16)
Equal 8
11.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
44.31%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 9
32.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Equal 9
10.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
56.23%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 10.5
23.73%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
76.27%
▼
(-0.08)
Mexico Goals
Over 1.5
28.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
71.59%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
9.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
90.38%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
2.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
78.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
21.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
47.68%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
52.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
22.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
77.47%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
8.65%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
91.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Mexico
25.72%
Draw
24.68%
Portugal
49.63%
Mexico
1-0
@
6.86%
2-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.72%
2-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.72%
Draw
1-1
@
11.55%
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
Portugal
0-1
@
10.35%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 49.63%
1-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 49.63%
