Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Angel Gomes 10' goal
  • 37' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixão 40' goal
  • Tadjidine Mmadi 86' goal
  • yellowcard 17'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 34'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 55'

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 4.30pm
Marseille 3 - 0 Al Shahaniya

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 10.00am
Amorebieta 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 38.61% (+0.43)
Draw 26.47% (-0.08)
Athletic Bilbao 34.93% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.08% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.28% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 21.72% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 55.75% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 44.25% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 32.95% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.05% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.02% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.98% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Marseille 28.31% (+0.06)
Draw 42.15% (-0.03)
Athletic Bilbao 29.55% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Marseille 45.7% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.06% (+0.05)
Athletic Bilbao 48.24% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.12% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.89% (+0.05)
Under 8 32.99% (-0.02)
Over 9 43.28% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.88% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 32.46% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 67.54% (+0.08)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 41.57% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 58.43% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 18.32% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 81.68% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 6.32% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.68% (-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 71.18% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 28.82% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 38.99% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 61.01% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 16.58% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 83.42% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 5.59% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.41% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Marseille 38.61%
Draw 26.46%
Athletic Bilbao 34.92%
Marseille
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.23% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.88% (+0.05)
Total : 38.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.06% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.03)
Total : 26.46%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.15% (-0.10)
Total : 34.92%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 15, 2018 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Aritz Aduriz 15' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 61' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 74' goal
  • Aritz Aduriz 76' redcard
  • goal Dimitri Payet 38'
  • yellowcard Adil Rami 48'
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 52'
Europa League
Mar 8, 2018 8.05pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lucas Ocampos 1' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 14' goal
  • Valere Germain 38' yellowcard
  • Adil Rami 45' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 58' goal
  • Maxime Lopez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 13'
  • goal Aritz Aduriz 45'
  • yellowcard Mikel San Jose 56'
  • yellowcard Markel Susaeta 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Etxebarria 82'
Europa League
Feb 25, 2016 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • San Jose 38' yellowcard
  • Aritz Aduriz 53' yellowcard
  • Sabin 81' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas N'Koulou 34'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 38'
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 40'
  • yellowcard Georges-Kevin N'Koudou 75'
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 93'
Europa League
Feb 18, 2016 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lassana Diarra 77' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 89' yellowcard
  • goal Aritz Aduriz 54'
  • yellowcard Benat 60'
  • yellowcard Mikel Balenziaga 82'
  • yellowcard Gorka Elustondo 92'