Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
4 - 1
St Louis City

Rusnak (33' pen., 33' pen.), Vargas (61', 61'), Musovski (81', 81'), Tolo (90+1', 90+1')
Roldan (29'), Roldan (29'), Vargas (35'), Vargas (35'), Rothrock (43'), Rothrock (43')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Hartel (29' pen., 29' pen.)
Teuchert (41'), Teuchert (41'), Hiebert (66'), Hiebert (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Seattle Sounders and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, April 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	St Louis City
67.93% ( -0.45)	18.27% ( 0.21)	13.8% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38% (

-0.41)

37.62% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15% (

-0.44)

59.85% (

0.44)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86% (

-0.22)

10.14% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.65% (

-0.51)

33.34% (

0.51)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.51% (

0.09)

39.48% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

0.09)

76.18% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 67.92%

St Louis City 13.8%

Draw 18.27%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.92%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.27%	1-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 13.8%