Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'

Orlando City vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
Montreal 0 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Martin Ojeda

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 58.76% (-0.21)
Draw 21.47% (+0.09)
Atlanta United 19.77% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.42% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.69% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 41.31% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 36.29% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 63.7% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 19.24% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 80.76% (+0.15)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 86.24% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 13.75% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 58.96% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 41.04% (+0.25)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 65.41% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.58% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.31% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Orlando City 58.76%
Draw 21.47%
Atlanta United 19.77%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.47%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.68% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head

MLS Playoffs
Nov 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Ramiro Enrique 39' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 59'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 42' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 62' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90' yellowcard
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 7'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 16'
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 9' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 23' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 70' goal
  • Brad Guzan 73' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 49'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Kyle Smith 30' goal
  • Kyle Smith 30' goal
  • goal Tyler Wolff 86'
  • goal Tyler Wolff 86'
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Thiago Almada 72'