Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.