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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Aug 29, 2021 at 12am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
3 - 3
LA Galaxy

Arango (44' pen.), Rodriguez (58', 66')
Cifuentes (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joveljic (20', 64'), Cabral (86')
dos Santos (35'), Joveljic (64'), Coulibaly (76'), Cabral (87')

Preview: Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

El Trafico takes place on Sunday at the Banc of California Stadium, where Los Angeles Galaxy travel to take on rivals Los Angeles FC in the MLS Western Conference.

The two sides have already met this season on May 9, when Greg Vanney's side came out as winners thanks to goals from Javier Hernandez and Jonathan dos Santos.


Match preview

Los Angeles FC defender Kim Moon-Hwan celebrates scoring a goal on June 24, 2021© Reuters

Bob Bradley's side are still in the hunt for a final series playoff spot, currently only three points behind San Jose Earthquakes, who sit in seventh, and LAFC claim the advantage of having a game in hand.

However, the Black and Gold's recent form has seen them slip away from the top seven, being winless in seven games and losing their last four on the bounce.

On Sunday, Los Angeles FC threw away a one-goal lead given to them through Diego Rossi's penalty, eventually conceding an 89th-minute strike from Vancouver Whitecaps' Ryan Gould.

LA will be pleased to return to California this Sunday, having played their last three games away from home, and they have taken more than twice as many points at home than they have done on their travels.

Los Angeles Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Vanney's side enter Sunday's clash on the back of two defeats, which is the first time the team have recorded consecutive losses in the league this season.

Both games against Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes followed the same pattern of LA Galaxy having to equalise after initially falling behind, before the away sides found a winner and each game finished 2-1 against Vanney's side.

Galaxy are firmly positioned in the playoff positions, sitting in fourth and 11 points clear of Portland Timbers, who sit just outside the top seven, but LA Galaxy will feel that their defensive record has prevented them from keeping up with Western Conference leaders Seattle Sounders.

Goalkeeper Jonathan Bond has conceded 32 goals in the 20 matches he has featured in this campaign, at least 11 more than the three teams above them.

Manager Vanney was not impressed by his side's defensive efforts last time out against San Jose, describing their defending as not good enough, but the 47-year-old took responsibility for the amount of goals his side have conceded.

In the last three meetings between these two sides, the home side have come out on top, but LA Galaxy were the last team to win this fixture away from home in the second derby of last season.

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Los Angeles FC manager Bob Bradley on May 9, 2021 © Reuters

Los Angeles FC winger Kwadwo Opoku is close to recovering from a knee injury he suffered at the end of May, but the derby on Sunday is expected to come too soon for the 20-year-old and he will continue to be sidelined.

Centre-back Eddie Segura is another player unavailable for Bradley this weekend, but new central defender Sebastien Ibeagha, who signed from New York City at the beginning of this month, could make his first start for the club.

LA FC top goalscorer Rossi ended a six-game goal drought last time out with his penalty kick against Vancouver, and he will be looking to prevent another string of games without finding the back of the net.

Galaxy's biggest threat in front of goal, Hernandez, has been sidelined since the end of June with a calf injury, and it is likely that he will not recovery in time for Sunday's derby.

The Mexican's absence gives new striker Dejan Joveljic another opportunity to lead the line for Galaxy, and he will be going in search of his first goal for the club after making three appearances since arriving this month.

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Farfan, Fall, Murillo, Kim; Cifuentes, Atuesta, Blessing; Rossi, Vela, Rodriguez

Los Angeles Galaxy possible starting lineup:
Bond; Hamalainen, DePuy, Coulibaly, Araujo; Lletget, Ravelson; Cabral, Kljestan, Alvarez; Joveljic


SM words green background

We say: Los Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

Bradley's side will be glad to return to California this weekend and a home game could be what they need to break their run of consecutive defeats.

Galaxy's frailties defensively have cost them points in recent games and Sunday is likely to be no different, however, they will look to attack the game and could be rewarded by scoring a couple of goals to earn a point against their rivals.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy

Los Angeles FC
32.0%
Draw
28.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
40.0%
25
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New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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