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Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Anfield
Fulham logo

Liverpool
0 - 1
Fulham


Jota (42'), Keita (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lemina (45')
Tete (38'), Lemina (47'), Mitrovic (90+6')

Preview: Liverpool vs. Fulham - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Liverpool will renew their search for an elusive Anfield victory when they welcome Fulham to Merseyside on Sunday.

The relegation-threatened Cottagers will be the second West London outfit to visit Anfield in the space of three days following Chelsea's victory there on Thursday night - a fifth consecutive home defeat for the champions.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured in February 2021© Reuters

The sudden transformation of Anfield from a fortress to a fertile hunting ground for visiting teams has been scarcely believable, and Fulham will have every reason to feel confident that they could pile more misery on Liverpool this weekend.

Jurgen Klopp watched on as his side slumped to a fifth successive home defeat on Thursday night - the worst run in the club's entire 129-year history, and the first reigning English top-flight champions to suffer that fate.

While that statistic understandably stole the headlines, it is by no means the only damning one when it comes to Liverpool's form at the moment, particularly at Anfield.

The Reds have only scored one home goal in six games so far in 2021, and only managed one shot on target against Chelsea, while their winless streak at Anfield now stands at seven games stretching back to December 16 - having won 32 of their 33 home league games prior to that.

Indeed, home and away Liverpool have now picked up just 10 points from 11 top-flight outings since the turn of the year, a tally which would leave them fourth from bottom in a 2021 league table and has seen them sink to seventh in the 2020-21 standings - four points off the Champions League places.

Liverpool players look dejected after conceding to Manchester City in February 2021© Reuters

On paper, a match against a team in the relegation zone should provide an ideal opportunity to end such a torrid run of form, and history suggests that Liverpool should still be firm favourites heading into this contest.

The Reds have never lost a home Premier League game against a newly-promoted side under Klopp, picking up 43 points from a possible 45 in such games, while they have also only lost one of their 23 top-flight home meetings with Fulham.

Indeed, Fulham have only ever scored three Premier League goals against Liverpool at Anfield, failing to find the back of the net in 11 of their 14 such visits, so the hosts have plenty of reasons to be confident that their dire form at Anfield could end this weekend.

That run will have taught Liverpool not to rely on history, though, and Fulham also have plenty of reasons to be hopeful as they search for a victory which could end up lifting them out of the relegation zone.

Scott Parker's side were narrowly beaten by Tottenham Hotspur on Thursday night but would have come away from that match feeling that they were worthy of at least a point.

Fulham manager Scott Parker celebrates after the match on February 14, 2021© Reuters

They would have come away with that point had they not had a goal controversially disallowed for handball - a decision which led the global lawmakers IFAB to change the handball law on Friday.

The news comes too late for Fulham, of course, and whether the point they were denied comes back to haunt them remains to be seen, but they are at least still in that conversation with only three points separating them from both Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United heading into the weekend.

Thursday's defeat to Spurs was their first loss in their last six Premier League games and just their fourth in their last 16 outings - a run which began with a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture against Liverpool at Craven Cottage in December.

Fulham are also enjoying their longest ever top-flight unbeaten away record of seven games and, while six of those have ended up all square, the solitary victory in that time did come on Merseyside against Everton.

The Cottagers have also kept more clean sheets in their last five Premier League away games than they had managed in their previous 45 such matches before that, so against a Liverpool team struggling to score at home they will be confident that they have the foundations to come away with something from Sunday's game.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Fulham Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Liverpool defender Ozan Kabak pictured on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Liverpool's centre-back curse has struck again in the wake of the Chelsea defeat, with Ozan Kabak the latest to pick up an injury.

Klopp has insisted that it is only a "little problem", but it is unlikely that the January arrival will recover in time to feature on Sunday.

There is better news for Nat Phillips, who is expected to be in contention after missing out against Chelsea with a slight lower back problem, and he could come straight back into the starting lineup.

Klopp also hinted at a desire to move Fabinho back into midfield, although that may have to wait for now despite Ben Davies providing another option to partner Phillips in defence.

Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez, Joel Matip and Jordan Henderson all remain sidelined for the hosts, while back-up goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher will be assessed ahead of kickoff.

Mohamed Salah was taken off shortly after the hour mark against Chelsea but is expected to start again here, particularly given that he has directly contributed to 15 goals in his 11 home Premier League games against promoted opposition.

Diogo Jota looked sharp on his return from injury in midweek and could be pushing for a starting role should Klopp deem him fit enough.

Fulham have a comparatively clean bill of health, with Marek Rodak and Tom Cairney their only absentees for this match.

The likes of Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Bobby Decordova-Reid and Kenny Tete will hope to benefit from any rotation given the quick turnaround in fixtures, but Parker may keep faith with much of the side that ran Spurs so close last time out.

Josh Maja was the man controversially disallowed the equaliser in that game, and he will be hoping for another memorable trip to Merseyside having scored his only two Fulham goals so far against Everton last month.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Phillips, Fabinho, Robertson; Thiago, Wijnaldum, Jones; Salah, Mane, Jota

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Aina, Andersen, Adarabioyo, Robinson; Reed, Anguissa; Cavaleiro, Loftus-Cheek, Lookman; Maja


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 1-1 Fulham

Just a couple of months ago, to have backed Fulham to come away from Anfield with anything would have been a very bold call. Now, though, it is far more realistic and the formbook points to the visitors picking up a point, if not more.

We do expect Liverpool to at least end their losing run on home turf, but their wait for an Anfield victory may go on against a Fulham side that have established themselves as a tough team to beat over recent months.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Written by
Barney Corkhill

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Fulham

Liverpool
73.1%
Draw
13.8%
Fulham
13.1%
145
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Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their first goal on February 16, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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