Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.