Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
3 - 2
Sochaux

Alfarela (11'), Magri (73'), Djoco (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sissoko (29'), Kalulu (32')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Sochaux.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paris FC 0-1 Bastia
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Sochaux 1-0 Grenoble
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawSochaux
39.39% (0.0039999999999978 0)30.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)30.33% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 40.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)84.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sochaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04%75.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 39.39%
    Sochaux 30.32%
    Draw 30.26%
BastiaDrawSochaux
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 7.97%
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.26%
0-1 @ 12.09%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Sochaux
1-0
Bastia
Sissoko (38' pen.)

Guidi (20')
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Sochaux
2-1
Bastia
Kalulu (68'), Henry (90')
Ambri (73'), Kalulu (90+3')
Pogba (79' og.)
Palun (13'), Kaiboue (20'), Sylla (56')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Bastia
2-2
Sochaux
Vincent (28'), Saadi (35')
Salles-Lamonge (26'), Le Cardinal (56')
Kalulu (79'), N'Diaye (87')
Kitala (77')
Apr 5, 2014 7pm
Bastia
2-2
Sochaux
Bruno (53'), Cisse (68')
Squillaci (87')
Ayew (45'), Corchia (45')
Sunzu (34'), Prcic (58'), Zouma (83')
Nov 23, 2013 7pm