Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
4 - 2
Montpellier

Munetsi (6'), Nakamura (25'), Diakite (57'), Teuma (90+3' pen.)
Diakite (58'), Kader Fofana (59'), Teuma (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nordin (37', 90+1')
Toure (27'), Adams (37'), Dzodic (49'), Savanier (64'), Chotard (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Montpellier HSC
47.75% ( -0.05)	23.66% ( 0.09)	28.58% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

-0.48)

42.25% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.34% (

-0.48)

64.65% (

0.47)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

-0.21)

17.89% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

-0.35)

48.67% (

0.35)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.28)

27.75% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.36)

63.32% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Reims 47.75%

Montpellier HSC 28.58%

Draw 23.66%

Reims	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.58%