Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
| 41.8% | 26.64% | 31.56% |
| Both teams to score 51.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% | 53.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.18% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% | 25.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% | 60.17% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% | 67.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.56% |