Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 8, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 7.45pm
Lorient 0 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 4.15pm
Lyon 2 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Ernest Nuamah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brest win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 30.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Lyon win is 0-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Brest 43.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.12% ▲ (+0.43)
Lyon 30.81% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.83% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 50.46% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 49.54% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 29.23% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 70.77% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 16.52% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 83.48% ▲ (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Brest 36.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 39.41% ▲ (+0.13)
Lyon 24.04% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Brest 54.88% ▼ (-0.23)
No Goal 7.39% ▲ (+0.25)
Lyon 37.73% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.55% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 31.07% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 45.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 9 42.45% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 35.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 64.84% ▼ (-0.10)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 42.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 57.93% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 18.44% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 81.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 6.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.14% ▲ (+0.07)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 34.26% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 32.11% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 67.89% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 11.6% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 88.4% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.5% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Brest 43.07%
Draw 26.12%
Lyon 30.8%
Brest
1-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 43.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.12%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 30.8%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Pavel Sulc 41' goal
  • Abner Vinicius 45'+1' goal
  • Abner 45'+2' goal
  • Khalis Merah 74' yellowcard
  • Orel Mangala 74' yellowcard
  • Adam Karabec 89' yellowcard
  • Adam Karabec 90' yellowcard
  • Hans Hateboer 90' yellowcard
  • Remi Stephane Himbert 90' yellowcard
  • Rémi Himbert 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Mboup 57'
  • yellowcard Pathé Mboup 57'
  • yellowcard Kamory Doumbia 69'
  • yellowcard Daouda Guindo 69'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 81'
  • yellowcard Eric Ebimbe 81'
  • yellowcard Luck Zogbé 81'
  • yellowcard Junior Dina Ebimbe 81'
  • goal Eric Ebimbe 87'
  • goal Junior Dina Ebimbe 87'
Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 2
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 24' goal
  • Tanner Tessmann 34' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 82' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Kenny Lala 15'
  • goal Kenny Lala 15'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 8' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 25' goal
  • Edimilson Fernandes 55' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 57'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Corentin Tolisso 18' goal
  • Said Benrahma 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 59' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 70' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 79' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 86' redcard
  • Jake O'Brien 87' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Matic 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Ainsley Maitland-Niles 90'+16' goal
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 17'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 45'+2'
  • goal Steve Mounie 59'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 64'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 67'
  • redcard Pierre Lees-Melou 86'
  • yellowcard Bradley Locko 87'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+11'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 31' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 64' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 81' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 10'