Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.