Liga MX Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2026 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Raúl Alejandro Martínez Ruiz 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mauro Zaleta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Luis Jiménez 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Monárrez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vargas 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 49'
  • goal Mathías Tomás 90'+3'

Necaxa vs Puebla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00am
Tigres 1 - 1 Necaxa
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Julián Carranza

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.05am
America 2 - 0 Puebla
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Eduardo Mustre Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Necaxa 46.92%
Draw 23.85%
Puebla 29.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.45% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 22.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.73% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 31.6%
Draw 43.96%
Puebla 24.44%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 52.69%
No Goal 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Puebla 42.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.71%
Equal 8 10.04%
Under 8 20.26%
Over 9 58.41%
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 30.29%
Over 10.5 46.83%
Under 10.5 53.17%

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 49.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.49%
Under 2.5 86.51%
Over 3.5 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Necaxa 46.94%
Draw 23.84%
Puebla 29.22%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 46.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.84%
Puebla
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.22%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 14, 2026 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cuauhtémoc
  • Alejandro Organista 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Baltazar 70' yellowcard
  • Brayan Garnica 71' yellowcard
  • Esteban Lozano 71' yellowcard
  • Ángelo Araos 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 72'
  • yellowcard Cristian Calderón 85'
Liga MX
Sep 20, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 19, 2025 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Raul Castillo 43' yellowcard
  • Raul Castillo 43' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 57' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 57' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Paradela 44'
  • goal Jose Paradela 44'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 60'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 12.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Agustin Palavecino 11' goal
  • Agustin Palavecino 11' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 15' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 15' goal
  • Fernando Arce 36' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 36' yellowcard
  • Diber Cambindo 52' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 52' goal
  • Kevin Rosero 76' goal
  • Kevin Rosero 76' goal
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Manuel De la Torre 37'
  • yellowcard Jose Manuel de la Torre Menchaca 37'
  • goal Rafael Duran 87'
  • goal Rafael Duran 87'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 20, 2024 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Lucas Cavallini 59' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 59' goal
  • Sebastian Olmedo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Olmedo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 27'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 27'
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 56'
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 56'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 79'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 79'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 81'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 81'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 83'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 83'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Heriberto Jurado 33' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 33' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 55' goal
  • Edgar Mendez 55' goal
  • Bryan Garnica 83' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 88' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 88' yellowcard
  • Braian Samudio 89' redcard
  • Braian Samudio 89' redcard
  • Vicente Poggi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Vicente Poggi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 12'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 12'
  • goal Diego de Buen 36'
  • goal Diego de Buen 36'
  • yellowcard Brayan Angulo 41'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 41'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin Velasco 60'
  • yellowcard Kevin Velasco 60'