Liga MX Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2026 4.06am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Salomón Rondón 42' goal
  • Salomón Rondón 63' goal
  • goal Emiliano Gómez 16'
  • goal Kevin Velasco 33'
  • goal Facundo Almada 90'+3'

Pachuca vs Puebla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.06am
Club Leon 1 - 0 Pachuca

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 2.00am
Puebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.97% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%) , while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Pachuca 55.35%
Draw 23.97%
Puebla 20.64% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.44% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 22.56% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 54.37% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 45.63% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 31.03% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.97% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.45% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.55% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Pachuca 41.29%
Draw 40.85%
Puebla 17.86%

Team To Score First

Pachuca 60.55% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.33% (+0.03)
Puebla 33.12% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.78%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 30.04%
Over 9 47.3%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 41.22%
Over 10.5 36.47%
Under 10.5 63.53%

Pachuca Goals

Over 1.5 53.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 46.89% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 26.58% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 73.42% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 11.01% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.99% (+0.04)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 57.34% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 42.66% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 24.6% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 75.4% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 7.74% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.26% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Pachuca 55.37%
Draw 23.95%
Puebla 20.64%
Pachuca
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.69% (-0.04)
Total : 55.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.02)
Total : 23.95%
Puebla
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hidalgo
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 8, 2026 1.06am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán 60' yellowcard
  • René López Aburto 69' yellowcard
  • Enner Valencia 69' yellowcard
  • Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán 74' goal
  • Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez 86' yellowcard
  • Luis Enrique Quiñones García 86' yellowcard
  • Enner Valencia 87' goal
  • yellowcard Alejandro Organista 46'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 61'
  • yellowcard Esteban Lozano 61'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 76'
  • goal José Pachuca 78'
  • yellowcard Owen González 88'
  • yellowcard Owen González 90'+2'
Liga MX
Sep 24, 2025 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Pedro Pedraza 34' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pedraza 34' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 67' goal
  • John Kennedy 67' goal
  • John Kennedy 77' goal
  • John Kennedy 77' goal
  • goal Ricardo Marin 6'
  • goal Ricardo Marin 6'
  • yellowcard Raul Castillo 50'
  • yellowcard Raul Castillo 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 63'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 63'
  • redcard Facundo Waller 73'
  • redcard Facundo Waller 73'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 2.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Emiliano Gomez 19' goal
  • Emiliano Gomez 19' goal
  • Luis Quinones 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Quinones 33' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • goal Salomon Rondon 13'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 13'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 37'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 37'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 72'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 72'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 21, 2024 1.00am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Pablo Gonzalez 4' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 4' yellowcard
  • Gaston Silva 6' yellowcard
  • Gaston Silva 6' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Sebastian Olmedo 32' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Olmedo 32' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Salomon Rondon 3'
  • yellowcard Salomon Rondon 3'
  • goal Sergio Barreto 5'
  • goal Sergio Barreto 5'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 51'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 51'
  • goal Alan Bautista 56'
  • goal Alan Bautista 56'
  • goal Erick Sanchez 66'
  • goal Erick Sanchez 66'
  • goal Alan Bautista 90'+6'
  • goal Alan Bautista 90'+6'