Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
7
0
HT : 5 0
FT Enea stadion
  • Patrik Wålemark 10' goal
  • Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 20' goal
  • Patrik Wålemark 25' goal
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 31' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 45' goal
  • Daniel Håkans 48' goal
  • Robert Gumny 79' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 50'
  • yellowcard T. Strannegård 70'

Lech Poznan vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Thun

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Thun had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.43%).

Result

Lech Poznan 55.78% (-0.04)
Draw 20.77%
Thun 23.44% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.93%
Under 1.5 14.07%
Over 2.5 67.87% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 32.13% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 45.93% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 54.07% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 30.65% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.35% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 41.93%
Draw 37.49% (+0.02)
Thun 20.58% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 64.2%
No Goal 3.32%
Thun 32.48%

Corners

Over 8 62.99% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.69%
Under 8 27.32%
Over 9 52.68%
Equal 9 10.3%
Under 9 37.01% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.53%
Under 10.5 57.47%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 60.59% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.41% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 34.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 65.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 16.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 83.75% (+0.02)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 61.74% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.26% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.12% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.88% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.57% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 55.79%
Draw 20.77%
Thun 23.45%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43%
3-0 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 15.79% (-0.02)
Total : 55.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.32%
3-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.77%
Thun
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-2 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.97% (+0.02)
Total : 23.45%