Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.