Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Women win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match.