Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.