Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.