Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.