Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Spartans win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.