Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.