Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Servette had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.