Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.39%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 29.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.18%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.