Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.