Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.