Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Red Star win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.