Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.