Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.