Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Mads Frokjaer-Jensen 24' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 76' goal
  • Stefan Teitur Thordarson 87' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 90' yellowcard
  • Sam Greenwood 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Colby Bishop 83'
  • yellowcard Thomas Waddingham 90'+5'

Preston North End vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Sunderland 1 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Emil Riis Jakobsen

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
Portsmouth 1 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result

Preston North End 51.02%
Draw 27.17%
Portsmouth 21.81% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.85%
Under 2.5 61.14% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 18.9%
Under 3.5 81.1%
Over 4.5 7.71%
Under 4.5 92.29% (-0.01)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 75.79%
Under 0.5 24.21% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.45%
Under 1.5 58.55%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 56.12% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.88%
Over 1.5 19.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.02%

Score analysis

Preston North End 51.01%
Draw 27.16%
Portsmouth 21.81%
Preston North End
1-0 @ 15.06%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.16%
4-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.16%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Josh Murphy 36' goal
  • Connor Ogilvie 45' goal
  • Regan Poole 69' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 89' goal
  • goal Emil Riis Jakobsen 50'
League One
Mar 29, 2013 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack King 54' yellowcard
  • Keith Keane 77' goal
  • goal Jed Wallace 3'
  • yellowcard Gabor Gyepes 19'
League One
Dec 15, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Izale McLeod 88' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bailey Wright 26'
  • yellowcard Andrew Procter 40'
  • yellowcard Chris Robertson 90'
  • yellowcard John Mousinho 90'
Championship
Apr 9, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ritchie De Laet 49' yellowcard
  • Greg Halford 62' goal
  • goal Iain Hume 32'
  • yellowcard Barry Nicholson 54'
  • yellowcard Darren Carter 64'
Championship
Aug 21, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Coutts 14' yellowcard
  • Paul Hayes 18' goal
  • Keith Treacy 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Mokoena 90'
  • yellowcard Marc Wilson 90'