Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.