Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%).