Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.