Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.