Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.