Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
32.29% ( 0.02) | 26.04% ( -0) | 41.66% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( 0.01) | 51.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 0.01) | 72.9% ( -0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( 0.02) | 29.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% ( 0.02) | 65.71% ( -0.02) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% ( -0.01) | 24.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.4% ( -0.01) | 58.6% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |