Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.