Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.