Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.